Continuing our daily dam water level forecasts
Today we have included predicted inflows into the lake.
This figures look at lot worse than yesterday but there is one reason why we do not believe the lake level will breach 900 feet
Wunderground may have jumped the shark with their cumulative precipitation figures. They are predicting a massive 30mm of precipitation today and 53mm and 54mm on the 19th and 20th.
In our experience Wunderground constantly overestimates rainfall.
The authorities at the dam are also relying on a lot of precipitation falling as snow
Areas for concern.
We have not be logging predicted temperatures until now but we believe the forecast temperatures are much warmer than what was predicted a few days ago, although we can not be sure. If temperatures are higher, this can possibly be problematic because the authorities at the dam have been depending on the precipitation falling as snow, not rain.
As of now on Wunderground, 10c is the max low temperature forecast for the 21.2.17 and temperatures will drop from there to 4c nightime temperature until 24.2.17
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The higher temperatures are cause for concern.
The Wunderground precipitation figures could be a wild over estimation
Our advice is to keep yourself updated on the lake level situation especially around the 19/20.2.17
Generally though, we find it hard to believe the emergency spillway will be needed. Although flooding downstream is more than possible.
Please note: We are not experts. We use the information we have available to formulate our own forecasts. Listen to what local authorities have to say, do what you think is correct
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